Green hydrogen plant

Production of green Hydrogen from water generated with renewable energies (wind/photovoltaic)

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Production of green Hydrogen from water generated with renewable energies (wind/photovoltaic)

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Alternative Energy
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
15% - 20% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
> USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Good health and well-being (SDG 3) Climate Action (SDG 13)

Business Model Description

Establish plants for the production of green hydrogen and its derivatives, from water, generated with renewable energies such as wind or photovoltaic.

Expected Impact

Green hydrogen will close clean energy cycles, given its nature of direct use and storage in difficult access sectors and energy-demanding industries

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

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Country
Region
  • Panama: Central Region
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy

In Panama, fossil fuels for the year 2020 emitted more than 3,901 megatons of CO2. Renewable resources as alternative energy, are inexhaustible, competitive, clean sources, abundant throughout the planet as they are; hydraulic, wind, solar, geothermal, tidal and biomass-based energy, which are constituted as the replacement of thermal energy.

Political priority
The decisions agreed in 2015 at the COP21 Paris Convention to which Panama subscribed, is a historic starting point to combat climate change and thus encourage each country to generate a viable platform for both State investment as well as the Private with a view to producing energy with low levels of carbon emissions.

Gender and Marginalization
In Panama 6% of the population lacks electricity service. Gender inequality is addressed in Climate Change summits as an important factor in strengthening efforts against climate warming. The link between gender, climate and security has shown positive signs for climate change in the countries with greatest progress fighting against gender inequality.

Investment opportunities
The global alignment in its different Conventions and agreements for the year 2030 and 2050 in relation to climate change, is representing a great investment opportunity for governments as long as in their countries they can generate laws that encourage attracting foreign private capital .

Obstacles such as the lack of alignment of a country to the global trend with climate change, ignorance of technology, ignorance of the social and environmental advantages as well as the incipient Government management.

Sub Sector

Alternative Energy

In Panama, more than 35% of its energy matrix is ​​still maintained with fossil combustion. Alternative energy as a substitute for fossil combustion has become the most viable and sustainable option for people in terms of health, as well as for our planet, since they do not generate carbon dioxide and we can obtain it from our natural resources in an abundant way.

Industry

Biofuels

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Production of green Hydrogen from water generated with renewable energies (wind/photovoltaic)

Business Model

Establish plants for the production of green hydrogen and its derivatives, from water, generated with renewable energies such as wind or photovoltaic.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

15% - 20%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Oil 30%, Coal 26.5%, Gas 23.3%, Nuclear 5.2%, Hydroelectric 2.7%, Biomass 9.9%, Renewables 2.5%

Currently the global energy matrix is ​​made up of 79.8% fossil fuels, 5% nuclear and 15.1% renewable sources. The projections of the different associations and climatic organizations foresee a significant increase by 2050 in energy production based on renewable resources by 10% more (25%).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

15% - 20%

Considering green hydrogen depends on availability of local renewable energy, and that 70% of its cost corresponds to the cost of renewable electricity, Panama can offer competitive prices for renewable generation since it has a legal and regulatory framework favorable for their development.

The “Hydrogen Economy Outlook” report shows that green hydrogen could be produced at US$0.8 - US$1.6/kg in several countries before 2050 and the demand in the EU together with the UK would be approx. 16.9 Mt in 2030 and 57 Mt in 2050 and that LAC countries will supply the needs for green hydrogen.

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

According to the experience of similar projects, the time required for its construction and commercial development is from 5 to 10 years.

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

> USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

Few investors and financial entities offer the necessary capital for these projects, given that their production in terms of cost is high by using renewable resources unlike traditional fossil fuel.

Business - Business Model Unproven

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Fossil fuels in Panama emitted 9,301 Megatons of CO2 for the year 2020, placing the country in position No. 76 out of 184 countries.

Currently Panama at the end of April 2022 the unemployment rate stood at 9.9% and informality within the economically active population increased by 0.6%, remaining at 48.2%.

Expected Development Outcome

According to the National Energy Plan 2015-2050, Panama aims to increase the use of renewable energy by 2050, setting a goal of a 15% increase in non-hydroelectric renewable energy capacity by 2030 and 30% by 2050 to reduce sector emissions by 11 million tons by 2030 and 60 million tons by 2050.

Gender & Marginalisation

Primary SDGs addressed

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.b.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)

Current Value

In Panama until 2013 there was only thermal and hydro generation and from 2014 onwards, wind and photovoltaic energy is incorporated with significant growth to date. Green hydrogen would come to further consolidate the Energy Transition Agenda, with a view to decarbonizing activities that are difficult to electrify (Heavy Transportation, Industries)

Panama generates 3,800 MW installed with a firm capacity of 2,800 on average supply and an internal demand of 2,000 MW. Currently its Energy Matrix is ​​62.95% renewable energy and the non-renewable difference. The participation of solar energy as a renewable resource is 10% at the end of 2021 and represents 5.87 (e-5) MW per capita.

Target Value

The Global Hydrogen Report (IEA, 2021) states that in 2020, 81 pilot projects were already in operation, most of which are in Europe. However, Latin America is advancing in the production of green hydrogen and had a portfolio of more than 25 projects, including several at a gigawatt scale for export. IRENA estimates that hydrogen will account for up to 12% of the world's energy use by 2050.

Secondary SDGs addressed

8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
3 - Good Health and Well-Being
13 - Climate Action

Directly impacted stakeholders

Planet

Panama projects, according to its 2015-2050 strategic national plan, to reduce CO2 emissions from the energy sector by 60 million tons of greenhouse gases.

Public sector

The government will complement its transition plans in its energy matrix, thus complying with international agreements.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

More than 1 million people living in the urban metropolitan area will benefit from a more conducive environment for health.

Outcome Risks

Efficiency risk: energy from renewable sources, key to generating green hydrogen through electrolysis, is more expensive to generate, which in turn makes obtaining hydrogen more expensive.

Efficiency risk: the availability of electricity from renewable sources and the availability of water.

Impact Risks

Danger: Hydrogen is difficult to detect. It is still less dangerous than natural gas, propane or butane. Hydrogen is light as it disperses quickly in the air. Care must be taken with materials used

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Generation of clean energy through renewable resources.

Risk

High cost of energy produced by the non-efficiency of the resources used.

Impact Thesis

Green hydrogen will close clean energy cycles, given its nature of direct use and storage in difficult access sectors and energy-demanding industries

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

Country's Energy Transition Agenda, approved in November 2020 by the Cabinet Council, as part of the Public Policies package. By January 2022 through the Official Digital Gazette, the Green Hydrogen Route, first phase, is published.

On September 21, 2016 Panama ratified, accepted, approved, its adherence to the historic Paris agreement on climate change and established the creation of a Ministry, laws and the path of a National Strategic Plan 2015-2050.

Ministry of the Environment with governing functions to formulate, apply, plan, direct, coordinate, execute and evaluate the National Environmental Policy, applicable to all levels of government.

In November 2020, the Cabinet Council approved the strategic guidelines of the Energy Transition Agenda, a measure that seeks to encourage investment in the sector, improve competitiveness and bring electricity to the communities indicated in the Beehive Plan.

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The business model of this IOA maintains access to financing under normal conditions with local private banks, as well as management in international financial markets or with more favorable options with multilateral entities in the region.

As part of the promotion elements of the Global Route of Green Hydrogen, the authorization of free Zones for trade and storage of Green Hydrogen and energy based on this will be included in the modification of the legal framework of hydrocarbons in Panama.

Regulatory Environment

General Environmental Law No. 41; which establishes the basic principles and standards for the protection and promotion of the sustainable use of natural resources. It also orders environmental management and integrates it with social and economic objectives.

National Secretariat of Energy; It is in charge of conducting the country's energy policy, within the current constitutional framework, to guarantee a sufficient, high-quality, economically viable and environmentally sustainable supply of energy resources.

National Authority of Public Services (ASEP); It is an autonomous regulatory entity that oversees the provision of water supply, sewerage, telecommunications, natural gas and electricity. Establishes rules, regulations, enforceable acts and their compliance.

Law 37 of June 10, 2013, is a regulation that establishes incentives for the construction, operation and maintenance of solar power plants or installations.

Law No. 45 2004 establishing the regime of Incentives for Promoting Hydroelectric Generation Systems and other Renewable and Clean sources. This was regulated in 2009 through Executive Decree 45 of June 10, 2009 and provides incentives for the construction and development of clean technology plants

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Capital or local private equity contribution, bank financing under normal conditions of local and international banks, foreign investment.

Government

Ministry of the Environment, National Secretariat of Energy, Public Services Authority.

Public-Private Partnership

Promulgation in the Official Gazette of January 2021, the regulation of Law 93 of September 19, 2019, which created the Public-Private Partnership (APP) Regime for development as an incentive for private investment, by social development and job creation.

Target Locations

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country static map
semi-urban

Panama: Central Region

From a logistic and scale point of view, the Interoceanic Region is the most appropriate, since it is intended to export this product, as well as its storage at the service of other countries.

References

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